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By John H. Redekop
THIS report card evaluates the last six months of the
Conservative Party’s performance in Ottawa. The mark in the brackets
is the mark awarded after the first year.
On balance, they earned a somewhat lower mark this
time.
Cabinet
The Prime Minister has a mostly strong team. Defense
Minister Gordon O’Connor has serious credibility problems, especially
after his misstatements about the Red Cross overseeing Taliban prisoners
held by Canadian troops. John Baird is doing well in Environment, as is Jim
Flaherty in Finance. So far, no scandal! B
(B+)
House of Commons
The record is uneven. Stockwell Day and John Baird
(despite the latter’s occasional bellicose manner) performed well.
Peter MacKay again hurt his party, this time by announcing that no
Conservative MP would be punished for voting against the budget; one did,
and was kicked out of caucus. Defense Minister O’Connor was
unimpressive. House Leader Peter Van Loan sometimes avoided the truth.
Prime Minister Harper lost ground by asserting the
Opposition Leader’s criticisms lacked credibility because he had not
been in uniform. Neither was Harper! Harper also lost ground by suggesting
the Liberals opposed an extension to the Anti-Terrorism Act because Liberal
MP Navdeep Bains was on an Air India bombing witness list. An apology would
have been appropriate. The MPs need to understand that scoring cheap
political points in Question Period does not score points with the
electorate. B (A-)
Social policies
Achievements include pension income splitting, two
extra years to put money into an RRSP, removal of limitation on RESP
contributions, $2 million given to BC to prevent gang violence, and
numerous family-supportive tax initiatives. Despite the $612 million Wait
Times Guarantee Trust, surgical wait times remain long. Also, we see no new
commitment for social housing, little improvement in processing foreign
credentials, and little progress in child care for those truly needing it.
B+ (B)
Economic policies
The income trust crisis was not handled well. Simply
terminating income trust formation might have created fewer problems for
the government than a clear breach of promise. The action was endorsed by
Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge; but most voters seemed unconvinced.
Praiseworthy budget commitments included the removal of
180,000 low income earners from the tax rolls; the $1,000 a year working
tax benefit; a $2,000 tax credit for children under 18; $2.2 billion more
in health and social transfer payments to provinces; another $1 billion for
farmers; $9.6 billion in debt repayment; $38 billion in tax relief over two
years; and $39 billion for ‘fiscal imbalance’ over seven years.
The key criticism is that the increase in spending was
the third highest since 1987. The incentive to buy efficient cars
discriminates against North American companies, given that the average new
Canadian car produces only 1/37th as much pollution as a 20 year old car.
A- (B+)
Foreign affairs
Although the Harper government reinvigorated foreign
policy and operated with principle and conviction, it lost crucial support
in this area. The Afghanistan policy, apparently based on the dubious
assumptions that democracy trumps Islamic intolerance and that moderate
Muslims will oppose the extremists, alienated many voters. Present policies
could cost the Conservatives a majority – perhaps even a minority
– victory.
The inadequate processing of passport applications
angered many. Positive elements include the $900 million increase in
foreign aid over two years; and a strengthened presence in Europe and Latin
America. Significantly, King Abdullah of Jordan urged Canada to play a
larger role in the Middle East peace process. C
(B-)
National unity
Much progress was made in addressing the alleged fiscal
imbalance. Quebec gets almost half of Ottawa’s annual transfer of $11
billion to the provinces. The Atlantic Accord imbroglio was regrettable;
Ottawa did the right thing, but made the wrong promise. All provinces now
run a surplus. Newfoundland’s Danny Williams alleges betrayal by the
Tories. He should remember 58.7 percent of his revenue comes from Ottawa!
A- (A-)
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Environment
Harper has altered his stance: “The science is
clear that these changes are occurring. They are serious – and we
must act.” While many climate change programs deleted by the Tories
have not been replaced, policies have changed. The $1.5 billion EcoTrust is
key. Many budget items addressed pollution.
The Tories allocated $400 million to fight pine beetle
infestation, and $225 million for conservation groups to buy ecologically
sensitive land. They finally cracked down on cruise ship sewage disposal.
However, oilsands are exempt from pollution curbs. B- (C)
Crime & justice
Bills outlaw street racing, restrict conditional
sentences, raise the age of sexual consent, and require automatic prison
terms for people using guns to commit crimes.
Unfortunately, the Liberal majority in the Senate has
prevented enactment of some bills. The record is uneven on reform of gun
registration. Crime prevention should receive more attention. The handling
of the RCMP problems has been satisfactory. A- (A)
Military policies
The $900 million allotted to the Strategic Aerospace
and Defense Initiative was widely viewed as a sound investment in aerospace
technology. A full 97 percent of Canadians approve the $4.3 billion
investment to defend Arctic sovereignty. The government promised six new
ships for west coast use by the Canadian Coast Guard. Creating a Veterans
Ombudsman Office and a Veterans Bill of Rights filled important needs.
Allegations of mistreatment by Canadian soldiers of Taliban prisoners
created serious problems for the Harper government. Also, many Canadians
are asking whether the government is focusing too much on the military.
B (A)
Parliamentary reform
Little has been done in this area during the last six
months other than projecting additional allotment of House of Commons seats
to B.C., Ontario and Alberta. The challenge to House of Commons supremacy
if the Senate is transformed into a second politically responsible chamber
has not yet been addressed.
The promised improvement in House of Commons decorum
has not happened. The government sets the tone – and must
accept responsibility. B (A)
Specific initiatives
Positive initiatives include: the $100,000 allotted to
develop an HIV/AIDS vaccine; the appointment of a judicial inquiry into the
1985 Air India bombing; the $591 million for the Pacific Gateway
Initiative; the $1.5 billion allotted for Toronto traffic improvement;
several new programs to improve aboriginal health; and the establishment of
the Canadian Mental Health Commission.
Problem areas include awarding a contract to a former
Quebec separatist minister, to review Liberal polling; and disallowing
deductibility for corporate offshore financing costs. B+ (B+)
Electoral promises
The Conservatives have kept most of their major
promises – other than reducing surgical wait times, which is mainly a
provincial responsibility. But promises were made; only marginal
improvement has been achieved. There have been delays in providing the
2,500 additional police officers. B+ (A-)
Overall leadership
Prime Minister Harper impresses as a solid and usually
principled performer in the House of Commons, a good communicator, a strong
team leader and a straightforward spokesperson. He was an effective
performer at the G8 Summit, and has generally been effective in
international involvements.
Unfortunately, he is sometimes excessively partisan and
undignified in Question Period repartee. Considerable muzzling of most
cabinet members continues.
Prime Minister Harper must be held accountable for his
party’s decline in public opinion polls – to the point that the
Conservatives are virtually tied with the Liberals, whose leader has not
evoked widespread affirmation. B+ (A-)
Overall mark for the last six months: B (B+)
John H. Redekop is adjunct professor of political
science, Trinity Western University.
September 2007
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